Sunday Macro Archive
Free curated list of the best client posts from 2025
A best-of compilation archive of my weekly Sunday Macro commentary
(excluding ES futures and RIA Allocation sections)
Macro is a proprietary measure of the Economy.
Macro leads SPX.
Rising Macro values occur when probabilities are increasing that SPX will go higher.
Therefore, Macro drives my commentary. “Zooming Out” to paint a narrative that tracks along where Macro is forecast, especially pointing out when SPX is diverging from Macro, providing opportunities to buy a dip.
MarketModel are the signals. Model swings Long for weeks/months with Macro, sitting in cash when Macro is falling. Model adds profits along the way with proprietary Scale Trades, often buying near the month’s lows and profiting on the bounce. Here’s Q4 as an example:
You can get the signals at MarketModel Daily Signals.
2025 had some difficult ‘grey swans’ with Trump Tariffs, which crashed SPX despite good Macro. Macro Bull kept RIA and trading clients invested for the V-Shape recovery. Echoes of Q2 volatility created some noise for Q3 Macro, flashed false warning signal in July and August. But Macro’s ability to adjust quickly positioned clients for a Q4 rally to ATHs.
Overall, MarketModel was 5-0 in Swing trades, which includes 10 Scale Trades inside the position. Model Signals +9.5% for 2025, missed opportunities after June breakeven trade (+0.01%) with no trades in July and August, but delivered a perfect Q4 +6.6%.
Check back after Q1 2026, where I’ll post some favorite Macro ideas from Jan/Feb/Mar.